Can Your Deck Win?
Pokémon TCG opening hand odds
How often will your deck mulligan, prize a key card or miss its first attacker? RdyDeck works it out for your exact list, free and offline.
Import your deck, open it, then open the Odds tab.
Mulligan odds by Basic count
You mulligan when your opening 7 cards hold no Basic Pokémon. For a 60 card deck, the chance is the number of 7 card hands with no Basic divided by all possible 7 card hands. These are exact for a 60 card deck.
| Basic Pokémon in the deck | Chance to mulligan |
|---|---|
| 8 | 34.6% |
| 10 | 25.9% |
| 12 | 19.1% |
| 14 | 13.9% |
| 16 | 9.9% |
Prize odds by copies
Six cards go into your prizes. The more copies of a card you play, the more likely one lands there, and the less likely all of them do. Exact numbers for a 60 card deck:
| Copies | At least one prized | Every copy prized |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| 2 | 19.2% | 0.85% |
| 3 | 27.5% | 0.06% |
| 4 | 35.1% | Under 0.01% |
This is why a single copy of a key card is a risk: one game in ten, it starts in your prizes.
Finding a card in your opening hand
| Copies | In your opening 7 |
|---|---|
| 1 | 11.7% |
| 2 | 22.1% |
| 3 | 31.5% |
| 4 | 39.9% |
What RdyDeck adds for your list
- Mulligan: the chance your opening 7 has no Basic.
- Draw card on turn 1: the chance of a draw card you can use in your first 8 cards.
- Attacker by your second turn: how often your main attacker is ready, from raw draws and with search.
- Prized pieces: how often every copy of something your attacker needs ends up in the prizes.
Mulligan and prize odds are exact. The setup odds come from 20,000 simulated shuffles of your exact list. Search cards and draw Supporters are not played out, so setup odds are floors, not forecasts. The shuffle is seeded from the list, so the same list always shows the same numbers.